Full Tuesday slates from here on out, save the All-Star Game in mid-July. There are a few stud arms going, but for the most part it's back-end guys, so offense could be sky high on Tuesday and there are some opportunities for widely available bats to cash in.
Pitching
Starting pitching
Mike Leake (St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates, 37 percent ownership in ESPN leagues): There aren't any substantial changes driving Leake's early success (0.60 ERA, 0.73 WHIP), so I have no delusions of some forthcoming breakout. Rather, I'm acknowledging that he's on one of his upswings. He will eventually meander back to the upper 3.00s where his ERA generally lives, but I'm riding the wave against a solid-but-unspectacular Pirates offense. It's also a two-start week so I'm holding him for the start at Milwaukee on Sunday, too.
Luis Severino (New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox, 26 percent): A brilliant outing against the Rays caught the eye of many, perhaps most notably Pedro Martinez, who worked with Severino this offseason. The 23-year-old draws a woefully inept White Sox team that has one start with an OPS north of .711 (Avisail Garcia at 1.185). They have a league-worst 6 percent walk rate against righties, and their 25 percent strikeout rate is fifth highest.
Shelby Miller (Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres, 8 percent): It's not great when your 5.06 ERA is an improvement over your previous season (6.15 in 101 innings pitched), but Miller's strikeout rate is back up to 23 percent and the Padres are still a team you definitely don't mind attacking with waiver arms. Miller closed strong after a tough start in his season debut and then had one bad inning (all three runs in the fifth) in his second start. The velocity is up, he's missing bats again and he has a great matchup.
Bullpen
It isn't often that you want to stream Colorado Rockies starters into your lineup, but even in the past when there was an arm you liked, you had to worry about their usually horrible bullpens either tacking runs onto your guy's ledger, blowing a lead or, of course, both. That has not been the case this year and it has actually made their young arms a bit more interesting. The bullpen's 1.00 WHIP is fourth best in baseball and they comfortably lead the league in "Shutdowns," Fangraphs alternative to saves (though Greg Holland has an MLB-high seven saves).
Projected game scores
Note: W-L, ERA and WHIP are full-year 2016 statistics. GS is the projected game score for the pitcher. A "*" means that the pitcher lacks requisite career major league data to produce an accurate rating; these are the author's ratings.
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ESPN
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